
Rain, Data, and the Shifting Nature of Tourism on the Gold Coast
3 min read
Published 21st May 2025
By Victoria Zorin, CEO of Nola
I was on the Gold Coast last week for the AALARA Conference — a key gathering for anyone shaping the future of tourism and entertainment in Australia. Within days of arriving, two separate Uber drivers said the same thing: “The rain just hasn’t been like this before.”
It stuck with me. Because whether you’re in ride ops or running an arcade, that kind of offhand comment is becoming a data point — and it's one I’m hearing more often.
At AALARA, weather came up frequently — not just in presentations, but in conversations on the floor. Operators shared how increasingly erratic conditions are quietly disrupting visitation patterns, revenue KPIs, dwell times, and activation performance.
What we’re seeing — and what Nola’s data confirms — is that weather is no longer a background variable. It’s directly shaping how visitation plays out, day by day.
Outdoor Downturns, Indoor Spikes
In April 2025, Nola analysed foot traffic across multiple venues nationwide. When matched with localised weather:
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Outdoor venues saw a 40–60% drop in entries on rainy days
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Indoor venues saw a 10–16% surge in traffic, often without warning (increase in passer-by traffic converting to tickets).
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Stay time is shrinking across the board, disrupting spend and operational flow
1. Outdoor Attendance Is No Longer Predictable
Theme parks and open-air attractions used to model attendance around school holidays, weekends, and weather forecasts. Now, even light rain can throw off volume and timing — not just how many people come, but when they enter and how long they stay.
2. Indoor Experiences Are Absorbing Overflow
Indoor venues — arcades, cinemas, museums — are no longer just plan B. On rainy mornings, they’re often the first stop. But the influx isn’t always forecastable, and if the venue isn’t prepared, it can quickly overwhelm staff, amenities, and capacity.
3. Stay Time Is Compressing
Guests aren’t sticking around. Outdoor visitors are leaving early due to fatigue and lack of cover. Indoors, patterns are less predictable: some linger longer due to lack of options, while others just pass through.
The result? Inconsistent per-capita spend and harder-to-optimise scheduling, staffing, and merchandising.
Australia’s Weather in 2025: A New Normal
According to the Bureau of Meteorology, March 2025 was Australia’s hottest March on record, with national temperatures 2.4°C above average — and the fourth-wettest on record.
The Gold Coast in particular faced persistent rain, heat, and the impacts of Cyclone Alfred. These conditions disrupted everything from transport to park operations — and they’re becoming less the exception, and more the norm.
Key Takeaways
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Outdoor venues dropped 40–60% on rainy days
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Indoor venues surged 10–16%
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Stay time shrank — across both environments
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Old forecasting models are breaking down
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Venues need live visibility and flexible operations
Recommendations for Operators
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Measure More Than Entries
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Track stay time and movement — not just footfall.
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Overlay Behaviour with Weather
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Identify patterns like rain-triggered exits or entry spikes.
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Operate Dynamically
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Adjust staffing and layout in real time based on live signals.
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Design for Weather Resilience
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Covered spaces, flexible F&B, shaded zones = longer visits.
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Use Nola’s Crowd Analytics Platform to Power All of the Above
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Real-time entries, exits & stay time
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Weather overlays & predictive alerts
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API-ready for ops dashboards and planning tools
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I left AALARA with a clear takeaway: Weather isn’t a seasonal concern anymore — it’s an operational input.
For venues, operators, and partners across the tourism space, the opportunity is clear: those with real-time visibility into behaviour and conditions will be the ones who adapt, optimise — and thrive.

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